Today is Election Day in Mexico. Enrique Pena Nieto of the PRI (Partido
Revolucionario Institucional) is expected to win handily. The PRI had a
stranglehold on Mexican politics for many decades, but is currently the
challenger party to President Felipe Calderon's PAN (Partido Accion
Nacional). Presidents in Mexico serve a six-year term but cannot run for
re-election (similar to Korea, where they serve a five-year term with
no possibility of re-election).
Pena Nieto, a 45-year-old former state governor, has been carefully
groomed for this position. He is the very model of the modern telegenic
candidate, handsome and glamorous. After his first wife (who bore him
three children) died of an epileptic seizure in 2007, he began dating
the superstar telenovela actress Angelica Rivera of the Televisa
network. They had a fairy-tale "wedding of the century" in 2010, and
Mexicans, like people everywhere, love a fairy-tale. Cynics (and there
are many here, it is a national pastime just as much as star-gazing is)
pointed out that the Televisa network is one of Pena Nieto's biggest
supporters politically and that the whole arrangement is, shall we say,
convenient. The leftist, anti-Pena Nieto newsmagazine
Proceso has the
journalistic equivalent of paroxysms on the subject.
Last December Pena Nieto, who had "written" a book promoting his
candidacy, as politicians will, made an appearance at the Guadalajara
book fair, and was asked during a press conference which books had
influenced his life. Pena Nieto, who works best scripted (hence the
frequent accusations against him of being an "empty suit"), visibly
struggled with the question, and when he finally coughed up a title,
misidentified the author. Well, this created a scandal. Everyone weighed
in. A potential president who doesn't read? Shocking. Many accused Pena
Nieto of being unworthy of office on this basis. Mexico's greatest
living novelist, Carlos Fuentes (since deceased), said that Pena Nieto
"does not have the right to become the President of Mexico due to his
ignorance" (Fuentes's vehemence was perhaps not surprising, since he was
the actual author of the book Pena Nieto misattributed to Enrique
Krauze). Pena Nieto weathered the affair, but it was delicioso.
More recently came the revelation that, during his first marriage,
Pena Nieto had fathered two sons out of wedlock with two different
women. One had died in infancy; he supported the other financially,
although he had little contact with the boy. Now, this was certainly
newsworthy, but as far as scandal, no go; nothing compared to the book
crisis. The general reaction seems to have been, so we have a male
presidential candidate who is virile and keeps mistresses. What else is
new? It's far less disqualifying than not being a reader; it's not
disqualifying at all. Imagine the same situation in the United States,
where the book business would barely create a ripple, but the paternity
stories would destroy the candidacy.
If people want to ask me what I have learned after a year in Mexico,
it has not related to drug cartels, but is instead this: Mexico
(like, I presume, all the rest of the Latin American nations) is
essentially a European country. The values, the emphases, are European;
they have nothing to do with the United States.The intellectual class is
tiny, a mere sliver of the population, but it is taken with the utmost
seriousness (Fuentes's death was an occasion for national mourning).
This may cast a cloud over Pena Nieto's presidency right from the start,
because the intellectual class has a really hard time taking him
seriously, and all his mis-steps are going to provoke a "We told you so -
the guy is a nothing" reaction from many highly respected parties. It
should be quite interesting.